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<p>Hazem,</p>
<p>A colleague and I have been developing Future Year weather files
for the past four years using a hybrid method that does frequency
analysis of future year weather time series out to 2100 from
dozens of Regional Climate Models, and combines that with
historical weather data to produce future year weather files for
any location for which there are historical data. Such a method
differs from the "morphing" technique that has been more commonly
used whereby the monthly averages and daily range from a
historical weather file are adjusted according to what the models
say. To summarize the difference between the two methods,
"morphing" assumes the climate patterns don't change but just get
shifted, while the hybrid method tries to replicate the future
climate patterns and downscale them to a specific location using
the historical data.</p>
<p>So far, we've generated future year weather files for over 120
locations around the world (see attached list), and have plans to
increase that to 200 locations before uploading them to the White
Box Technologies web site to complement the 5,000+ "typical
year" and 160,000+ historical year weather files that are already
there. Furthermore, since our procedure has been largely
automated, future year weather files could be generated within a
day or two for any place with over 5 years of historical data, or
roughly 10,000 other locations.</p>
<p>If you have any questions, feel free to contact me via e-mail or
post it on BLDG-SIM if you think it's of general interest.<br>
</p>
<p>Joe</p>
<pre class="moz-signature" cols="90">Joe Huang
White Box Technologies, Inc.
346 Rheem Blvd., Suite 205A
Moraga CA 94556
<a class="moz-txt-link-abbreviated" href="mailto:yjhuang@whiteboxtechnologies.com">yjhuang@whiteboxtechnologies.com</a>
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://weather.whiteboxtechnologies.com">http://weather.whiteboxtechnologies.com</a> for simulation-ready weather data
(o) (925)388-0265
(c) (510)928-2683
"building energy simulations at your fingertips"
</pre>
<div class="moz-cite-prefix">On 2/6/2021 1:19 PM, Hazem Rashed-Ali
via Bldg-sim wrote:<br>
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<p class="MsoNormal">Dear all,<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">I am looking for good sources for
simulation weather files that reflect future climate change
scenarios, or of tools that can be used to modify TMY files to
reflect these scenarios.
<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Thanks a lot in advance for your
suggestions.<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Best,<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Hazem <o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><i><span
style="font-size:10.0pt;color:blue">==========================<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><i><span
style="font-size:10.0pt;color:blue">Hazem Rashed-Ali,
Ph.D., LEED AP<br>
Associate Professor, Department of Architecture<br>
The University of Texas at San Antonio<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><i><span
style="font-size:10.0pt;color:blue">Past President,
Architectural Research Centers Consortium (ARCC)<br>
Phone: 210-458-3088<br>
Fax: 210-458-3091<o:p></o:p></span></i></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
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<br>
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