[Bldg-sim] [Equest-users] White Box Technologies brings simulation weather data to the satellite age

Tue Jan 2 09:30:09 PST 2018

Hi Joe,

From your perspective, are NREL or any other government/professional bodies making moves/indications to update/refresh the current TMY3 sets to utilize satellite-derived solar radiation?  Seems like a no-brainer for our industry, but is there a counter-argument?  It seems likely, but has there been rigorous comparisons of satellite-derived solar radiation against measured values and/or our “present-day” solar models used to derive solar radiation information for building energy simulation?

Also, I’m trying to understand and correctly characterize the impact of this development in simple terms my brain can follow.  Is it fair to say:

The solar models used in developing weather files for building energy simulations to-date in our industry (including all/most industry-standard TMY weather sets), because they have been using solar radiation derived from (evolving) solar models, have not accounted for the likes of local climate cloud cover / smog / dust?  Seattle (~47°N) has perhaps been seeing as much sunlight through the winter as Paris (~48°N)?

Does satellite-derived solar radiation address some or all of these local climate issues (cloud cover, smog, dust) affecting direct/indirect solar radiation?

Thanks sincerely for all your teaching Joe,

~Nick

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Nick Caton, P.E., BEMP
  Senior Energy Engineer
  Regional Energy Engineering Manager
  Energy and Sustainability Services
  Schneider Electric

D  913.564.6361
M  785.410.3317
F  913.564.6380
E  nicholas.caton at schneider-electric.com<mailto:nicholas.caton at schneider-electric.com>

15200 Santa Fe Trail Drive
Suite 204
Lenexa, KS 66219
United States

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From: Equest-users [mailto:equest-users-bounces at lists.onebuilding.org] On Behalf Of Joe Huang via Equest-users
Sent: Thursday, December 14, 2017 8:13 PM
To: BLDG-SIM <bldg-sim at lists.onebuilding.org>; EnergyPlus_Support <EnergyPlus_Support at yahoogroups.com>; equest-users at lists.onebuilding.org
Subject: [Equest-users] White Box Technologies brings simulation weather data to the satellite age

It is with joy and some trepidation to report that White Box Technologies (WBT) is updating all its historical weather files with satellite-derived solar radiation. Joy because this overcomes what has been the most significant question mark with weather files; trepidation because of the amount of work needed to carry out and maintain this effort. To show that this is more than marketing hype, I need to give a rather long explanation about this development.

The bane of weather data over the past three decades has been the solar radiation (global horizontal and direct normal) which are not measured parameters, but derived using various solar and sky models. All the familiar "typical year" sets, i.e., TMY, WYEC, IWEC, etc., let alone the historical weather files, have modeled solar radiation. Although a lot of
work has gone into such models (see M. Iqbal,"An Introduction to Solar Radiation", Academic Press, 1983), there remain an almost intractible problem of the lack of good measured solar to tune any of these models. For example, in the ASHRAE IWEC2 weather files, my team was able to find one or two years' measured data for less than 50 locations,
from which were derived 28 sets of regression coefficients then used for all 3,012 IWEC2 locations.

For the past decade and a half, researchers around the world have been working to derive solar radiation from weather satellite imagery, driven largely by the needs of the solar power industry for the siting of solar power plants and getting "bankable" solar estimates for their arrays. Our little building energy simulation sector can of course benefit by hanging on the coattails of the solar power industry, but the downside has been to be totally priced out, since the commercial cost for one year's solar data for one location (grid cell) typically runs around $1,000.

A welcome development over the last five years is that various government offices or affiliated consortia are now beginning to also providing access to satellite-derived solar radiation at minimal or more acceptable costs under various conditions. Over the past three years, WBT has obtained access to such data and permission for its use in WBT weather files.
WBT is now either replacing the solar radiation on its historical weather files, or using satellite-derived radiation to develop custom solar coefficients for each location to extend the satellite-derived solar to time periods outside the available time window. With the exception of polar locations above or below 60/66 degrees, island nations in the Pacific and Indian Ocean, and a few unfortunate "blind spots", the entire land mass is being covered with at least 10 years up to 18 years of hourly solar records.

Starting in 2018, WBT historical weather files in the following areas will all have satellite-derived solar radiation for the following time periods: Europe, Africa, South America east of 66 West, i.e., Brazil and Uruguay (2004 to date), Australia (1999 to date), and East Asia (2007 to date, access pending). WBT historical weather files in the following areas will have satellite-derived solar radiation for the indicated time periods - North America and Central/South American down to 20 South (1998-2015), South Asia (2000-2014), with modeled solar radiation from 2016 on that has been individually tuned to the past satellite-derived solar.

Another benefit to the satellite-derived solar is to increases the number of available weather stations, which in many places has been limited by the lack of cloud cover data needed to model the solar radiation.  For reasons that are not immediately identifiable, several English-speaking Commonwealth countries has seen a marked drop in the number of available stations due to the decreases in the reporting of cloud cover (see plot, ZAF = South Africa). For example, the number of stations in the UK has dropped by almost 2/3s between 2001 and 2017 (174 to 64), but with satellite-derived solar, it will go back up to over 180, while in Australia and South Africa the comparable numbers are from 175 to well over 500, and from 37 to over 100, respectively.
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If interested, customers who have purchased a historical weather files from WBT over the past five years can get an updated weather file at no cost. Lastly, although it will take at least a month to update all 10,000 2017 files, it's very quick to do for any specific location or even 50 or so locations. Therefore, if you have an urgent request please e-mail me and I will put that at the beginning of the queue for that day.

--

Joe Huang

White Box Technologies, Inc.

346 Rheem Blvd., Suite 205A

Moraga CA 94556

yjhuang at whiteboxtechnologies.com<mailto:yjhuang at whiteboxtechnologies.com>

http://weather.whiteboxtechnologies.com for simulation-ready weather data

(o) (925)388-0265

(c) (510)928-2683

"building energy simulations at your fingertips"
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